The Wynn Las Vegas casino has offered betting lines on the 2011 November Nine. This marks the first time that odds are offered for this event in Vegas due to new regulations allowing for sportsbooks to include this type of wager.
The leader in this 2011 WSOP Main Event is Martin Staszko. With 40 million chips and 7 million more than 2nd place, Wynn placed Staszko as the favorite with 3-1 odds. What that means is that you would need to bet $100 to win $300 if Martin wins the 2011 November Nine.
Here are the remaining betting odds for the finale of this 2011 WSOP Main Event in November:
17-5 Eoghan O'Dea – 33,925,000
6-1 Matt Giannetti – 24,750,000
6-1 Phil Collins – 23,875,000
6-1 Ben Lamb – 20,875,000
7-1 Badih Bounahra – 19,700,000
10-1 Pius Heinz – 16,425,000
11-1 Anton Makievskyi – 13,825,000
14-1 Sam Holden – 12,375,000
Now, one may wish to pick one of the Americans – Matt Giannetti, Phil Collins or Ben Lamb – simply because they appear to be the most seasoned poker pros in the bunch. But results at a final table are pretty random. One lucky or unlucky hand can change everything. And the supposed best player quite often does not win because of that short-term luck factor.
In fact, of all the famous pros since 2006 making the final table in huge Main Event fields – Allen Cunningham, Phil Ivey and Michael Mizrachi being the most famous – they finished 4th, 5th, and 7th. While poker is a skill game, there really is no reliable way to predict the outcome of a final table like the November Nine.
Perhaps the best strategy is to place equal bets on Collins, Lamb and Giannetti. That way, you would double your money if any of those 3 players happens to win.
Generally, picking an extreme longshot like the person in 9th place would probably be the best strategy if the odds are right. But at 14-1, Sam Holden is not very good value. At 30-1, he would be a steal. But 14-1 is placed just about right to make it a true gambling bet.
Tao of Poker (Pauly): November Nine Betting Odds – 2011 WSOP